Concise, engaging, and highly intuitive—this accessible guide equips you with an understanding of all the basic principles of forecastingMaking accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, as F. A. Hayek noted when accepting his Nobel Prize in economics, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. In this accessible and engaging guide, David Hendry, Michael Clements, and Jennifer Castle pro...

A new edition of the definitive guide to value sensitive design—chock full of theory, design methods, and hands-on studios and applications for practice.In the midst of technological, environmental, and social turmoil, engineers, policymakers, and designers of all kinds seek approaches to responsible innovation, approaches that foreground human values. How do we make good on responsible AI and social media? On sustainable agriculture, energy, healthcare, and transp...

Using our moral and technical imaginations to create responsible innovations: theory, method, and applications for value sensitive design.Implantable medical devices and human dignity. Private and secure access to information. Engineering projects that transform the Earth. Multigenerational information systems for international justice. How should designers, engineers, architects, policy makers, and others design such technology? Who should be involved and what val...

An FBI cover-up spanning nearly a century. A victim and his family sworn to secrecy. Machine Gun Kelly's first kidnapping, a crime that changed America before it was swept under the rug of history.Under Penalty of Death: The Untold Story of Machine Gun Kelly's First Kidnapping brings to light for the first time the long-forgotten (and twice covered up) tale of the 1930s kidnapping that saved America from itself. In January 1932, Howard Arthur Woolverton, a...

Safeguarding Children and Schools explains how schools are able to contribute to keeping children safe from harm and promoting their welfare, in line with Government Every Child Matters guidelines.The contributors, who are all experts in the field of child protection, put the potentially daunting task faced by schools in context, explaining relevant policy, the latest research findings and offering practical examples to help schools to be more proactive and meet their responsibilit...

As perspectives on private art therapy practice evolve, this book provides an overview of the range of approaches, clinical settings, ethical issues and professional considerations when working outside of the formal structures of publically-funded services.An essential guide for art therapy students and experienced practitioners moving into private practice, it considers the impact of a private context on theory, practice and research. The book features contributions from art thera...

This audiobook is narrated by a digital voice.Four lives…Two people…One question…What do you really know about the people around you?To the residents of leafy Acacia Avenue, Mr and Mrs Smith were like any other couple. Living a very ordinary life, in a very ordinary suburb, on the outskirts of a very ordinary city.But behind closed doors, Mr and Mrs Smith were at the heart of a world fi...

The nation's favourite annual guide to the short story, now in its sixth year.Best British Short Stories invites you to judge a book by its cover – or more accurately, by its title. This new series aims to reprint the best short stories published in the previous calendar year by British writers, whether based in the UK or elsewhere. The editor's brief is wide ranging, covering anthologies, collections, magazines, newspapers and web sites, looking for the b...

This audiobook is narrated by a digital voice.Undercover Legends: A 101 PrimerYou’ve heard of couples who are doctors, lawyers, or even accountants—but a couple who are both undercover officers? That’s rare.In Meet Mr and Mrs Smith, dive into the thrilling, emotional, and often humorous true stories of a pair whose lives are a blend of bravery and deception.From infiltrating dangerous organized...

Undercover Legends: A 101 PrimerYou've heard of couples who are doctors, lawyers, or even accountants—but a couple who are both undercover officers? That's rare.In Meet Mr and Mrs Smith, dive into the thrilling, emotional, and often humorous true stories of a pair whose lives are a blend of bravery and deception.From infiltrating dangerous organized crime groups to navigating the high-stakes tension of double lives, this boo...

Four lives…Two people…One question…What do you really know about the people around you?To the residents of leafy Acacia Avenue, Mr and Mrs Smith were like any other couple. Living a very ordinary life, in a very ordinary suburb, on the outskirts of a very ordinary city.But behind closed doors, Mr and Mrs Smith were at the heart of a world filled with deception and organised crime - and they were the ...

This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth.Except where otherwise noted, this book is l...