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How to Expect the Unexpected

The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To

de Kit Yates ...

Narat de Kit Yates ...

Neprescurtat

11 ore 41 min

A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read...A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How c... ... Citiți mai mult

158,74 lei

A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read...A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How c...
... Citiți mai mult
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亂數中的秩序，機率學在日常中的角力：密碼破譯×抽籤順序×投擲骰子×布朗運動，從賭桌到實驗室，數學如何定義命運？

de 張遠南 ...

Neprescurtat

42 min

偶發事件、摸彩賭博、魔術求π……從賽馬到科學，數學如何解釋世界的「偶然」？在不確定中找尋確定，學會用數學思維解碼生活中的不可預測！▎探索機率的奧祕　　本書作者透過一系列精彩絕倫的故事，引導讀者深入理解機率學這門數學分支的核心精神。每個章節都是一個獨立的敘事，展示了機率如何在我們的日常生活中扮演著不可或缺的角色，從而在似乎隨機的事件中發掘出必然的規律。從威廉．向克斯對π值的計算到布豐的投針試驗，這些故事不僅具有趣味，更啟發思考，使機率學的概念變得生動而具體。▎機率與日常生活：從理論到實踐　　作者書中不僅談論理論，更與日常生活緊密相連。例如，在〈一場關於投擲骰子的爭論〉中，透過一個簡單的遊戲，展示了機率如何解釋日常生活中的不確定性和偶然事件。而在〈求π的「魔法」〉一章，則透過數學實驗向讀者展示了數學與實踐的完美結合。這些章節透過具體例子，使讀者理解到機率不僅是抽象數學的一部分 ... Citiți mai mult

13,98 lei

偶發事件、摸彩賭博、魔術求π……從賽馬到科學，數學如何解釋世界的「偶然」？在不確定中找尋確定，學會用數學思維解碼生活中的不可預測！▎探索機率的奧祕　　本書作者透過一系列精彩絕倫的故事，引導讀者深入理解機率學這門數學分支的核心精神。每個章節都是一個獨立的敘事，展示了機率如何在我們的日常生活中扮演著不可或缺的角色，從而在似乎隨機的事件中發掘出必然的規律。從威廉．向克斯對π值的計算到布豐的投針試驗，這些故事不僅具有趣味，更啟發思考，使機率學的概念變得生動而具體。▎機率與日常生活：從理論到實踐　　作者書中不僅談論理論，更與日常生活緊密相連。例如，在〈一場關於投擲骰子的爭論〉中，透過一個簡單的遊戲，展示了機率如何解釋日常生活中的不確定性和偶然事件。而在〈求π的「魔法」〉一章，則透過數學實驗向讀者展示了數學與實踐的完美結合。這些章節透過具體例子，使讀者理解到機率不僅是抽象數學的一部分
... Citiți mai mult
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Speed

How it Explains the World from the Bestselling Author

de Vaclav Smil ...

Narat de Joe Jameson ...

Neprescurtat

11 ore 10 min

Brought to you by Penguin.Explore how speed influences every aspect of life on Earth, from the slow grind of geological processes and the fleeting lifespans of organisms to the astonishing speed of light and the remarkable adaptations of creatures like the swift antelope and the soaring albatross. In this ambitious and wide-ranging ideas book, internationally bestselling author Vaclav Smil ... Citiți mai mult

84,02 lei

Brought to you by Penguin.Explore how speed influences every aspect of life on Earth, from the slow grind of geological processes and the fleeting lifespans of organisms to the astonishing speed of light and the remarkable adaptations of creatures like the swift antelope and the soaring albatross. In this ambitious and wide-ranging ideas book, internationally bestselling author Vaclav Smil
... Citiți mai mult
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Thinking Better

The Art of the Shortcut

de Marcus du Sautoy ...

Narat de Mark Elstob ...

Neprescurtat

11 ore 34 min

How do you remember more and forget less?How can you earn more and become more creative just by moving house?And how do you pack a car boot most efficiently?This is your shortcut to the art of the shortcut.Mathematics is full of better ways of thinking, and with over 2,000 years of knowledge to draw on, Oxford mathematician Marcus du Sautoy interrogates his passion for shortcuts in this fresh and ... Citiți mai mult

119,74 lei

How do you remember more and forget less?How can you earn more and become more creative just by moving house?And how do you pack a car boot most efficiently?This is your shortcut to the art of the shortcut.Mathematics is full of better ways of thinking, and with over 2,000 years of knowledge to draw on, Oxford mathematician Marcus du Sautoy interrogates his passion for shortcuts in this fresh and
... Citiți mai mult
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How to Read Numbers

A Guide to Statistics in the News (and Knowing When to Trust Them)

de Tom Chivers, David Chivers ...

Narat de Tom Chivers, David Chivers ...

Neprescurtat

4 ore 27 min

Every day, most of us will read or watch something in the news that is based on statistics in some way. Sometimes it'll be obvious - 'X people develop cancer every year' - and sometimes less obvious - 'How smartphones destroyed a generation'. Statistics are an immensely powerful tool for understanding the world, but in the wrong hands they can be dangerous.Introducing you to the common mistakes ... Citiți mai mult

124,01 lei

Every day, most of us will read or watch something in the news that is based on statistics in some way. Sometimes it'll be obvious - 'X people develop cancer every year' - and sometimes less obvious - 'How smartphones destroyed a generation'. Statistics are an immensely powerful tool for understanding the world, but in the wrong hands they can be dangerous.Introducing you to the common mistakes
... Citiți mai mult
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Crickonomics

The Anatomy of Modern Cricket: Shortlisted for the Sunday Times Sports Book Awards 2023

de Stefan Szymanski, Tim Wigmore ...

Narat de David Thorpe ...

Neprescurtat

13 ore 57 min

Bloomsbury presents Crickonomics by Stefan Szymanski and Tim Wigmore, read by David Thorpe.SELECTED AS ONE OF WATERSTONES BEST SPORT BOOKS OF 2022.A CRICKETER BOOK OF THE YEAR.An engaging tour of the modern game from an award-winning journalist and the economist who co-authored the bestselling Soccernomics.Why does England rely on private schools for their batters – but not their bowlers? How did ... Citiți mai mult

96,02 lei

Bloomsbury presents Crickonomics by Stefan Szymanski and Tim Wigmore, read by David Thorpe.SELECTED AS ONE OF WATERSTONES BEST SPORT BOOKS OF 2022.A CRICKETER BOOK OF THE YEAR.An engaging tour of the modern game from an award-winning journalist and the economist who co-authored the bestselling Soccernomics.Why does England rely on private schools for their batters – but not their bowlers? How did
... Citiți mai mult
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The Signal and the Noise

Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

de Nate Silver ...

Narat de Mike Chamberlain ...

Neprescurtat

16 ore 21 min

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty that explains how to make better predictions in a world drowning in data, from the nation’s foremost political forecaster—updated with insights into the pandemic, journalism today, and pollingOne of The Wall Street Journal’s Ten Best Works of Nonfiction of the Year“Could turn out to be one of the more ... Citiți mai mult

86,84 lei

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty that explains how to make better predictions in a world drowning in data, from the nation’s foremost political forecaster—updated with insights into the pandemic, journalism today, and pollingOne of The Wall Street Journal’s Ten Best Works of Nonfiction of the Year“Could turn out to be one of the more
... Citiți mai mult
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Black Swan — Book Review — Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The

de Clarity Reviews ...

Narat de Digital Voice David E ...

Neprescurtat

21 min

This audiobook is narrated by a digital voice.This is a review of The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Taleb argues rare, unpredictable events shape history more than gradual trends. He critiques normal distribution models for underestimating extreme outcomes, particularly in financial markets. His background as derivatives trader provides credibility, and his identification of cognitive ... Citiți mai mult

14,84 lei sau gratuit cu Kobo Plus

This audiobook is narrated by a digital voice.This is a review of The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Taleb argues rare, unpredictable events shape history more than gradual trends. He critiques normal distribution models for underestimating extreme outcomes, particularly in financial markets. His background as derivatives trader provides credibility, and his identification of cognitive
... Citiți mai mult
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Probability Theory and Examples: A Guided Course With Intuition, Proofs, and Worked Problems for Self-Study

de Daniel Hofstadter ...

Narat de Daniel Hofstadter ...

Neprescurtat

2 ore 11 min

Master probability theory and applied statistics on the go with this patient, audio-optimized self-study guide. Transform your daily commute or focused study sessions into a conversational journey through the hidden laws of randomness. Designed specifically for audio-only learners, complex equations are translated into intuitive, plain-spoken language that makes mental calculation effortless ... Citiți mai mult

49,57 lei sau gratuit cu Kobo Plus

Master probability theory and applied statistics on the go with this patient, audio-optimized self-study guide. Transform your daily commute or focused study sessions into a conversational journey through the hidden laws of randomness. Designed specifically for audio-only learners, complex equations are translated into intuitive, plain-spoken language that makes mental calculation effortless
... Citiți mai mult
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Probability in AI: A Friendly, Practical Introduction to Uncertainty, Bayes, and Decision-Making for Modern Machine Learning

de Luca Benedetti ...

Narat de Luca Benedetti ...

Neprescurtat

1 oră 54 min

Master the language of uncertainty to build robust machine learning models and drive smarter artificial intelligence. Whether you are upskilling during a commute or diving into focused study, this guide transforms complex math into practical tools. Swap heavy formulas for clear frameworks that help you navigate the unpredictable nature of real-world data.Stop guessing how algorithms truly work and ... Citiți mai mult

49,57 lei sau gratuit cu Kobo Plus

Master the language of uncertainty to build robust machine learning models and drive smarter artificial intelligence. Whether you are upskilling during a commute or diving into focused study, this guide transforms complex math into practical tools. Swap heavy formulas for clear frameworks that help you navigate the unpredictable nature of real-world data.Stop guessing how algorithms truly work and
... Citiți mai mult
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Predict the Future: Easy Insights through Bayesian Thinking

"Unlock future insights with our compelling audio lessons on Bayesian thinking. Boost your predictive skills today!"

de Landon Mercer ...

Narat de Nick Porter ...

Neprescurtat

2 ore 15 min

Predict the Future: Easy Insights through Bayesian Thinking⭐⭐ Simplified Audio Guide ⭐⭐Seeking to excel in your career and boost your understanding using Bayesian Thinking?Searching for an all-encompassing guide that offers everything needed to master powerful predictive thinking?Look no further!This guide is your ultimate resource for gaining deeper insights, honing... ... Citiți mai mult

25,31 lei sau gratuit cu Kobo Plus

Predict the Future: Easy Insights through Bayesian Thinking⭐⭐ Simplified Audio Guide ⭐⭐Seeking to excel in your career and boost your understanding using Bayesian Thinking?Searching for an all-encompassing guide that offers everything needed to master powerful predictive thinking?Look no further!This guide is your ultimate resource for gaining deeper insights, honing...
... Citiți mai mult
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Calling Bullshit

The Art of Scepticism in a Data-Driven World

de Jevin D. West, Carl T. Bergstrom ...

Narat de Patrick Zeller ...

Neprescurtat

10 ore 18 min

Brought to you by Penguin.We think we know bullshit when we hear it, but do we? A spotter's guide to bullshit in the wild from two brilliantly contrarian scientistsThe world is awash in bullshit, and we're drowning in it. Politicians are unconstrained by facts. Science is conducted by press release. Start-up culture elevates hype to high art. These days, calling bullshit is a noble act.Based on a ... Citiți mai mult

78,01 lei

Brought to you by Penguin.We think we know bullshit when we hear it, but do we? A spotter's guide to bullshit in the wild from two brilliantly contrarian scientistsThe world is awash in bullshit, and we're drowning in it. Politicians are unconstrained by facts. Science is conducted by press release. Start-up culture elevates hype to high art. These days, calling bullshit is a noble act.Based on a
... Citiți mai mult
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Do Dice Play God?

The Mathematics of Uncertainty

de Ian Stewart ...

Narat de Simon Vance ...

Neprescurtat

10 ore 12 min

A celebrated mathematician explores how math helps us make sense of the unpredictableWe would like to believe we can know things for certain. We want to be able to figure out who will win an election, if the stock market will crash, or if a suspect definitely committed a crime. But the odds are not in our favor. Life is full of uncertainty --- indeed, scientific advances indicate that the universe ... Citiți mai mult

138,89 lei

A celebrated mathematician explores how math helps us make sense of the unpredictableWe would like to believe we can know things for certain. We want to be able to figure out who will win an election, if the stock market will crash, or if a suspect definitely committed a crime. But the odds are not in our favor. Life is full of uncertainty --- indeed, scientific advances indicate that the universe
... Citiți mai mult
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A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics

A Neuroscientist on How to Make Sense of a Complex World

de Daniel Levitin ...

Narat de Dan Piraro ...

Neprescurtat

7 ore 5 min

Penguin presents the unabridged, downloadable, audiobook edition of a Field Guide to Lies by David Levitin, read by Dan Piraro.The bestselling author of The Organized Mind explains and debunks statistics in the information ageWe live in a world of information overload. Facts and figures on absolutely everything are at our fingertips, but are too often biased, distorted, or outright lies. From ... Citiți mai mult

60,01 lei

Penguin presents the unabridged, downloadable, audiobook edition of a Field Guide to Lies by David Levitin, read by Dan Piraro.The bestselling author of The Organized Mind explains and debunks statistics in the information ageWe live in a world of information overload. Facts and figures on absolutely everything are at our fingertips, but are too often biased, distorted, or outright lies. From
... Citiți mai mult
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Big Data

Does Size Matter?

de Timandra Harkness ...

Narat de Timandra Harkness ...

Neprescurtat

9 ore 46 min

Bloomsbury presents Big Data: Does Size Matter?, written and read by Timandra HarknessWhat is Big Data, and why should you care?Big data knows where you've been and who your friends are. It knows what you like and what makes you angry. It can predict what you'll buy, where you'll be the victim of crime and when you'll have a heart attack. Big data knows you better than you know yourself, or so it ... Citiți mai mult

84,02 lei

Bloomsbury presents Big Data: Does Size Matter?, written and read by Timandra HarknessWhat is Big Data, and why should you care?Big data knows where you've been and who your friends are. It knows what you like and what makes you angry. It can predict what you'll buy, where you'll be the victim of crime and when you'll have a heart attack. Big data knows you better than you know yourself, or so it
... Citiți mai mult
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Mathematical Theory of Bayesian Statistics: A Rigorous Yet Intuitive Introduction to Priors, Posteriors, and Asymptotics

de Robert Klein ...

Narat de Robert Klein ...

Neprescurtat

2 ore 4 min

Master the mathematical foundation of Bayesian statistics to transform probability into a precise logic of uncertainty. Whether you are settling in for deep work or upskilling during your academic commute, this analytical journey demystifies complex data science paradigms. Transition from classical inference to formal mathematical modeling with absolute clarity.Stop relying on vague heuristics and ... Citiți mai mult

49,57 lei sau gratuit cu Kobo Plus

Master the mathematical foundation of Bayesian statistics to transform probability into a precise logic of uncertainty. Whether you are settling in for deep work or upskilling during your academic commute, this analytical journey demystifies complex data science paradigms. Transition from classical inference to formal mathematical modeling with absolute clarity.Stop relying on vague heuristics and
... Citiți mai mult
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Numbers Tell Stories

How Data Can Reveal the Surprising Truths about Our World from the Bestselling Author

de Vaclav Smil ...

Neprescurtat

Brought to you by Penguin.From the internationally bestselling author, a revealing look at the surprising numbers that uncover the hidden forces shaping our worldWhat do marriage, milk and the black market tell us about the state of humanity? Most people would say, not much at all. But the numbers reveal startling truths about who we are, how we live and where we’re headed. For centuries we’ve ... Citiți mai mult

84,02 lei

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Brought to you by Penguin.From the internationally bestselling author, a revealing look at the surprising numbers that uncover the hidden forces shaping our worldWhat do marriage, milk and the black market tell us about the state of humanity? Most people would say, not much at all. But the numbers reveal startling truths about who we are, how we live and where we’re headed. For centuries we’ve
... Citiți mai mult
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The Model Thinker

What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You

de Scott E. Page ...

Narat de Jamie Renell ...

Neprescurtat

15 ore 45 min

Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja.From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, ... Citiți mai mult

158,74 lei

Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja.From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows,
... Citiți mai mult
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Making Numbers Count

The art and science of communicating numbers

de Chip Heath, Karla Starr ...

Narat de Kathe Mazur ...

Neprescurtat

4 ore 35 min

Brought to you by Penguin.Making Numbers Count is a lively, practical, first-of-its-kind guide to turning cold, clinical data into a memorable story.Until very recently, most languages had no words for numbers greater than five - anything from six to infinity was known as 'lots'. While the numbers in our world have become increasingly complex, our brains are stuck in the past. Yet the ability to ... Citiți mai mult

54,01 lei

Brought to you by Penguin.Making Numbers Count is a lively, practical, first-of-its-kind guide to turning cold, clinical data into a memorable story.Until very recently, most languages had no words for numbers greater than five - anything from six to infinity was known as 'lots'. While the numbers in our world have become increasingly complex, our brains are stuck in the past. Yet the ability to
... Citiți mai mult
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A arte da estatística

Como aprender a partir de dados

de David Spiegelhalter ...

Narat de Rodrigo Chueri ...

Neprescurtat

10 ore 26 min

Neste livro que já se tornou um clássico, David Spiegelhalter — um dos maiores estatísticos da atualidade — combina a visão incomparável de um especialista com o entusiasmo de um aficionado e oferece um verdadeiro guia para explorarmos a arte dessa ciência que é muito mais do que um ramo da matemática.Em A arte da estatística, David Spiegelhalter utiliza a resolução de questões do mundo real como ... Citiți mai mult

33,80 lei

Neste livro que já se tornou um clássico, David Spiegelhalter — um dos maiores estatísticos da atualidade — combina a visão incomparável de um especialista com o entusiasmo de um aficionado e oferece um verdadeiro guia para explorarmos a arte dessa ciência que é muito mais do que um ramo da matemática.Em A arte da estatística, David Spiegelhalter utiliza a resolução de questões do mundo real como
... Citiți mai mult
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Statistics for Beginners: A Simple Introduction to Making Sense of Data and Chance

de Peter Rosenthal ...

Narat de Peter Rosenthal ...

Neprescurtat

1 oră 41 min

Conquer math anxiety and build essential data literacy with this empowering, beginner-friendly guide to everyday numbers. Whether you are commuting to the office or focusing on personal self-improvement, this reassuring listen transforms intimidating concepts into clear, actionable critical thinking skills. Say goodbye to the frustration of messy data and misleading statistical claims.Instead of ... Citiți mai mult

49,57 lei sau gratuit cu Kobo Plus

Conquer math anxiety and build essential data literacy with this empowering, beginner-friendly guide to everyday numbers. Whether you are commuting to the office or focusing on personal self-improvement, this reassuring listen transforms intimidating concepts into clear, actionable critical thinking skills. Say goodbye to the frustration of messy data and misleading statistical claims.Instead of
... Citiți mai mult
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Feitenkennis

Tien redenen waarom we een verkeerd beeld van de wereld hebben en waarom het beter gaat dan je denkt

de Hans Rosling ...

Narat de Paul Laseur ...

Neprescurtat

7 ore 46 min

Bestseller over cijfers en feiten Een van de belangrijkste boeken die ik ooit heb gelezen.' Bill Gates 'Iedereen zou dit boek moeten lezen.' de Volkskrant Wat is nu de gemiddelde levensverwachting in de wereld? Hoeveel meisjes maken de basisschool af? Welk percentage van de wereldbevolking leeft in armoede? Op eenvoudige vragen over wereldwijde trends geven we systematisch de verkeerde antwoorden. ... Citiți mai mult

88,49 lei sau gratuit cu Kobo Plus

Bestseller over cijfers en feiten Een van de belangrijkste boeken die ik ooit heb gelezen.' Bill Gates 'Iedereen zou dit boek moeten lezen.' de Volkskrant Wat is nu de gemiddelde levensverwachting in de wereld? Hoeveel meisjes maken de basisschool af? Welk percentage van de wereldbevolking leeft in armoede? Op eenvoudige vragen over wereldwijde trends geven we systematisch de verkeerde antwoorden.
... Citiți mai mult
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Luck

de David Flusfeder ...

Narat de Leighton Pugh ...

Neprescurtat

9 ore 24 min

‘A joy’ Philippe Sands ‘Glorious’ David SpiegelhalterA fascinating, enchanting and personal look at the meaning of luck, and the way in which it has shaped our shared history and continues to inflect our day to day lives.What does it mean to be lucky? How might we mitigate the effects of bad luck and maximise those of good? Is there actually such a thing as ‘luck’—some force that intervenes ... Citiți mai mult

119,74 lei

‘A joy’ Philippe Sands ‘Glorious’ David SpiegelhalterA fascinating, enchanting and personal look at the meaning of luck, and the way in which it has shaped our shared history and continues to inflect our day to day lives.What does it mean to be lucky? How might we mitigate the effects of bad luck and maximise those of good? Is there actually such a thing as ‘luck’—some force that intervenes
... Citiți mai mult
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The Upside of Irrationality

The Unexpected Benefits of Defying Logic at Work and at Home

de Dan Ariely ...

Narat de Simon Jones ...

Neprescurtat

8 ore 18 min

New York Times Bestseller“Ariely is a genius at understanding human behavior: no economist does a better job of uncovering and explaining the hidden reasons for the weird ways we act.” — James Surowiecki, author of The Wisdom of CrowdsBehavioral economist and New York Times bestselling author of Predictably Irrational Dan Ariely offers a much-needed take on the irrational decisions that influence ... Citiți mai mult

132,91 lei

New York Times Bestseller“Ariely is a genius at understanding human behavior: no economist does a better job of uncovering and explaining the hidden reasons for the weird ways we act.” — James Surowiecki, author of The Wisdom of CrowdsBehavioral economist and New York Times bestselling author of Predictably Irrational Dan Ariely offers a much-needed take on the irrational decisions that influence
... Citiți mai mult

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亂數中的秩序，機率學在日常中的角力：密碼破譯×抽籤順序×投擲骰子×布朗運動，從賭桌到實驗室，數學如何定義命運？

Speed

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The Signal and the Noise

Black Swan — Book Review — Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The

Probability Theory and Examples: A Guided Course With Intuition, Proofs, and Worked Problems for Self-Study

Probability in AI: A Friendly, Practical Introduction to Uncertainty, Bayes, and Decision-Making for Modern Machine Learning

Predict the Future: Easy Insights through Bayesian Thinking

Calling Bullshit

Do Dice Play God?

A Field Guide to Lies and Statistics

Big Data

Mathematical Theory of Bayesian Statistics: A Rigorous Yet Intuitive Introduction to Priors, Posteriors, and Asymptotics

Numbers Tell Stories

The Model Thinker

Making Numbers Count

A arte da estatística

Statistics for Beginners: A Simple Introduction to Making Sense of Data and Chance

Feitenkennis

Luck

The Upside of Irrationality