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Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370

av Sam Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams ...

Serie serie SpringerBriefs in Electrical and Computer Engineering
This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was ... Läs mer

Gratis

This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was
... Läs mer
Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty

From Theory to Practice

Redigerad av Vincent A. W. J. Marchau, Warren E. Walker, Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen, Steven W. Popper ...

This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools ... Läs mer

Gratis

This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools
... Läs mer
Earthquakes, Tsunamis and Nuclear Risks

Prediction and Assessment Beyond the Fukushima Accident

Redigerad av Katsuhiro Kamae ...

This book covers seismic probabilistic risk assessment (S-PRA) and related studies which have become more important to increase the safety of nuclear facilities against earthquakes and tsunamis in the face of the many uncertainties after the Fukushima accident. The topics are (1) Active faults and active tectonics important for seismic hazard assessment of nuclear facilities,(2) Seismic source ... Läs mer

Gratis

This book covers seismic probabilistic risk assessment (S-PRA) and related studies which have become more important to increase the safety of nuclear facilities against earthquakes and tsunamis in the face of the many uncertainties after the Fukushima accident. The topics are (1) Active faults and active tectonics important for seismic hazard assessment of nuclear facilities,(2) Seismic source
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Arbitrage, Credit And Informational Risks

av Ying Jiao, Caroline Hillairet, Monique Jeanblanc ...

Serie Bok 5 - Peking University Series In Mathematics
This book contains a collection of research papers in mathematical finance covering recent advances in arbitrage, credit and asymmetric information risks. These subjects have attracted academic and practical attention, in particular after the international financial crisis. The volume is split into three parts which treat each of these topics. ... Läs mer

378,51 kr

This book contains a collection of research papers in mathematical finance covering recent advances in arbitrage, credit and asymmetric information risks. These subjects have attracted academic and practical attention, in particular after the international financial crisis. The volume is split into three parts which treat each of these topics.
... Läs mer
Das Hidden-Markov-Modell

Zufallsprozesse mit verborgenen Zuständen und ihre wahrscheinlichkeitstheoretischen Grundlagen

av Karl-Heinz Zimmermann ...

Serie serie Life Science and Basic Disciplines (German Language)
Im Mittelpunkt dieses essentials steht eine Einführung in ein bekanntes statistisches Modell, das Hidden-Markov-Modell.Damit können Probleme bewältigt werden, bei denen aus einer Folge von Beobachtungen auf die wahrscheinlichste zustandsspezifische Beschreibung geschlossen werden soll.Die Anwendungen des Hidden-Markov-Modells liegen hauptsächlich in den Bereichen Bioinformatik, Computerlinguistik, ... Läs mer

108,39 kr

Im Mittelpunkt dieses essentials steht eine Einführung in ein bekanntes statistisches Modell, das Hidden-Markov-Modell.Damit können Probleme bewältigt werden, bei denen aus einer Folge von Beobachtungen auf die wahrscheinlichste zustandsspezifische Beschreibung geschlossen werden soll.Die Anwendungen des Hidden-Markov-Modells liegen hauptsächlich in den Bereichen Bioinformatik, Computerlinguistik,
... Läs mer
Advanced Mathematical and Computational Tools in Metrology and Testing XIII

av F Pavese, A Bošnjaković, S Eichstädt, A B Forbes, J A Sousa ...

Serie Bok 94 - Series on Advances in Mathematics for Applied Sciences
This volume contains original, refereed contributions by researchers from national metrology institutes, universities and laboratories across the world involved in metrology and testing. The volume has been produced by the International Measurement Confederation (IMEKO) Technical Committee 21, Mathematical Tools for Measurements, in association with IMEKO Technical Committee 6, Digitalisation, and ... Läs mer

1 095,67 kr

This volume contains original, refereed contributions by researchers from national metrology institutes, universities and laboratories across the world involved in metrology and testing. The volume has been produced by the International Measurement Confederation (IMEKO) Technical Committee 21, Mathematical Tools for Measurements, in association with IMEKO Technical Committee 6, Digitalisation, and
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Physik und Finanzen

av Volker Ziemann ...

Serie serie Life Science and Basic Disciplines (German Language)
Dieses Buch führt Physikstudenten in die Konzepte und Methoden der Finanzwissenschaft ein. Obwohl die Finanzwissenschaft als recht weit von der Physik entfernt wahrgenommen wird, teilt sie eine Reihe gemeinsamer Methoden und Ideen, die in der Regel mit Rauschen und Unsicherheiten zu tun haben. Durch die Gegenüberstellung der wichtigsten Methoden mit Anwendungen in der Physik und im Finanzwesen ... Läs mer

325,28 kr

Dieses Buch führt Physikstudenten in die Konzepte und Methoden der Finanzwissenschaft ein. Obwohl die Finanzwissenschaft als recht weit von der Physik entfernt wahrgenommen wird, teilt sie eine Reihe gemeinsamer Methoden und Ideen, die in der Regel mit Rauschen und Unsicherheiten zu tun haben. Durch die Gegenüberstellung der wichtigsten Methoden mit Anwendungen in der Physik und im Finanzwesen
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Particle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems

Dynamics from logarithm and exponent in the infection process, percolation effects

av Marcus Hellwig ...

The book describes the possibility of making a probabilistic prognosis, which uses the mean n-day logarithm of case numbers in the past to determine an exponent for a probability density for a prognosis, as well as the particle emission concept, which is derived from contact and distribution rates that increase the exponent of the probable development to the extent that a group of people can be ... Läs mer

580,13 kr

The book describes the possibility of making a probabilistic prognosis, which uses the mean n-day logarithm of case numbers in the past to determine an exponent for a probability density for a prognosis, as well as the particle emission concept, which is derived from contact and distribution rates that increase the exponent of the probable development to the extent that a group of people can be
... Läs mer
Commodities, Energy and Environmental Finance

Redigerad av Ronnie Sircar, Michael Ludkovski, René Aïd ...

Serie Bok 74 - Fields Institute Communications
This volume is a collection of chapters covering the latest developments in applications of financial mathematics and statistics to topics in energy, commodity financial markets and environmental economics. The research presented is based on the presentations and discussions that took place during the Fields Institute Focus Program on Commodities, Energy and Environmental Finance in August 2013. ... Läs mer

580,13 kr

This volume is a collection of chapters covering the latest developments in applications of financial mathematics and statistics to topics in energy, commodity financial markets and environmental economics. The research presented is based on the presentations and discussions that took place during the Fields Institute Focus Program on Commodities, Energy and Environmental Finance in August 2013.
... Läs mer
Structural Health Monitoring for Suspension Bridges

Interpretation of Field Measurements

av Yang Deng, Aiqun Li ...

This book presents extensive information on structural health monitoring for suspension bridges. During the past two decades, there have been significant advances in the sensing technologies employed in long-span bridge health monitoring. However, interpretation of the massive monitoring data is still lagging behind. This book establishes a series of measurement interpretation frameworks that ... Läs mer

1 508,51 kr

This book presents extensive information on structural health monitoring for suspension bridges. During the past two decades, there have been significant advances in the sensing technologies employed in long-span bridge health monitoring. However, interpretation of the massive monitoring data is still lagging behind. This book establishes a series of measurement interpretation frameworks that
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Stability Analysis of Regenerative Queueing Models

Mathematical Methods and Applications

av Evsey Morozov, Bart Steyaert ...

The stability analysis of stochastic models for telecommunication systems is an intensively studied topic. The analysis is, as a rule, a difficult problem requiring a refined mathematical technique, especially when one endeavors beyond the framework of Markovian models.The primary purpose of this book is to present, in a unified way, research into the stability analysis of a wide variety of ... Läs mer

1 740,61 kr

The stability analysis of stochastic models for telecommunication systems is an intensively studied topic. The analysis is, as a rule, a difficult problem requiring a refined mathematical technique, especially when one endeavors beyond the framework of Markovian models.The primary purpose of this book is to present, in a unified way, research into the stability analysis of a wide variety of
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Introduction to Malliavin Calculus

av David Nualart, Eulalia Nualart ...

Serie Bok 9 - Institute of Mathematical Statistics Textbooks
This textbook offers a compact introductory course on Malliavin calculus, an active and powerful area of research. It covers recent applications, including density formulas, regularity of probability laws, central and non-central limit theorems for Gaussian functionals, convergence of densities and non-central limit theorems for the local time of Brownian motion. The book also includes a self ... Läs mer

469,89 kr

This textbook offers a compact introductory course on Malliavin calculus, an active and powerful area of research. It covers recent applications, including density formulas, regularity of probability laws, central and non-central limit theorems for Gaussian functionals, convergence of densities and non-central limit theorems for the local time of Brownian motion. The book also includes a self
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Stochastic Geometric Analysis with Applications

av Ovidiu Calin ...

This book is a comprehensive exploration of the interplay between Stochastic Analysis, Geometry, and Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). It aims to investigate the influence of geometry on diffusions induced by underlying structures, such as Riemannian or sub-Riemannian geometries, and examine the implications for solving problems in PDEs, mathematical finance, and related fields. The book aims ... Läs mer

1 414,42 kr

This book is a comprehensive exploration of the interplay between Stochastic Analysis, Geometry, and Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). It aims to investigate the influence of geometry on diffusions induced by underlying structures, such as Riemannian or sub-Riemannian geometries, and examine the implications for solving problems in PDEs, mathematical finance, and related fields. The book aims
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Introduction to Queueing Systems with Telecommunication Applications

av László Lakatos, László Szeidl, Miklós Telek ...

The book is the extended and revised version of the 1st edition and is composed of two main parts: mathematical background and queueing systems with applications. The mathematical background is a self-containing introduction to the stochastic processes of the later studied queueing systems. It starts with a quick introduction to probability theory and stochastic processes and continues with ... Läs mer

638,15 kr

The book is the extended and revised version of the 1st edition and is composed of two main parts: mathematical background and queueing systems with applications. The mathematical background is a self-containing introduction to the stochastic processes of the later studied queueing systems. It starts with a quick introduction to probability theory and stochastic processes and continues with
... Läs mer
Dynamic Markov Bridges and Market Microstructure

Theory and Applications

av Umut Çetin, Albina Danilova ...

Serie Bok 90 - Probability Theory and Stochastic Modelling
This book undertakes a detailed construction of Dynamic Markov Bridges using a combination of theory and real-world applications to drive home important concepts and methodologies. In Part I, theory is developed using tools from stochastic filtering, partial differential equations, Markov processes, and their interplay. Part II is devoted to the applications of the theory developed in Part I to ... Läs mer

1 392,47 kr

This book undertakes a detailed construction of Dynamic Markov Bridges using a combination of theory and real-world applications to drive home important concepts and methodologies. In Part I, theory is developed using tools from stochastic filtering, partial differential equations, Markov processes, and their interplay. Part II is devoted to the applications of the theory developed in Part I to
... Läs mer
Probability: Theory, Examples, Problems, Simulations

av Hannelore Lisei, Wilfried Grecksch, Mihai Iancu ...

A key pedagogical feature of the textbook is the accessible approach to probability concepts through examples with explanations and problems with solutions. The reader is encouraged to simulate in Matlab random experiments and to explore the theoretical aspects of the probabilistic models behind the studied experiments. By this appropriate balance between simulations and rigorous mathematical ... Läs mer

458,19 kr

A key pedagogical feature of the textbook is the accessible approach to probability concepts through examples with explanations and problems with solutions. The reader is encouraged to simulate in Matlab random experiments and to explore the theoretical aspects of the probabilistic models behind the studied experiments. By this appropriate balance between simulations and rigorous mathematical
... Läs mer
Complexity Science

The Warwick Master's Course

Redigerad av Robin Ball, Vassili Kolokoltsov, Robert S. MacKay ...

Serie Bok 408 - London Mathematical Society Lecture Note Series
Complexity science is the study of systems with many interdependent components. Such systems - and the self-organization and emergent phenomena they manifest - lie at the heart of many challenges of global importance. This book is a coherent introduction to the mathematical methods used to understand complexity, with plenty of examples and real-world applications. It starts with the crucial ... Läs mer

620,62 kr

Complexity science is the study of systems with many interdependent components. Such systems - and the self-organization and emergent phenomena they manifest - lie at the heart of many challenges of global importance. This book is a coherent introduction to the mathematical methods used to understand complexity, with plenty of examples and real-world applications. It starts with the crucial
... Läs mer
Control of Partial Differential Equations

av Jean-Michel Coron, Tatsien Li, Zhiqiang Wang ...

This book is mainly a collection of lecture notes for the 2021 LIASFMA International Graduate School on Applied Mathematics. It provides the readers some important results on the theory, the methods, and the application in the field of 'Control of Partial Differential Equations'. It is useful for researchers and graduate students in mathematics or control theory, and for mathematicians or ... Läs mer

936,30 kr

This book is mainly a collection of lecture notes for the 2021 LIASFMA International Graduate School on Applied Mathematics. It provides the readers some important results on the theory, the methods, and the application in the field of 'Control of Partial Differential Equations'. It is useful for researchers and graduate students in mathematics or control theory, and for mathematicians or
... Läs mer
Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method

av Andrew J. Majda, Samuel N. Stechmann, Shengqian Chen, H. Reed Ogrosky, Sulian Thual ...

Serie serie SpringerBriefs in Mathematics of Planet Earth
In this text, modern applied mathematics and physical insight are used to construct the simplest and first nonlinear dynamical model for the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), i.e. the stochastic skeleton model. This model captures the fundamental features of the MJO and offers a theoretical prediction of its structure, leading to new detailed methods to identify it in observational data. The text ... Läs mer

574,67 kr

In this text, modern applied mathematics and physical insight are used to construct the simplest and first nonlinear dynamical model for the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), i.e. the stochastic skeleton model. This model captures the fundamental features of the MJO and offers a theoretical prediction of its structure, leading to new detailed methods to identify it in observational data. The text
... Läs mer
Infinite Dimensional And Finite Dimensional Stochastic Equations And Applications In Physics

av Wilfried Grecksch, Hannelore Lisei ...

This volume contains survey articles on various aspects of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) and their applications in stochastic control theory and in physics.The topics presented in this volume are:This book is intended not only for graduate students in mathematics or physics, but also for mathematicians, mathematical physicists, theoretical physicists, and science researchers ... Läs mer

776,93 kr

This volume contains survey articles on various aspects of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) and their applications in stochastic control theory and in physics.The topics presented in this volume are:This book is intended not only for graduate students in mathematics or physics, but also for mathematicians, mathematical physicists, theoretical physicists, and science researchers
... Läs mer
Martingales in Banach Spaces

av Gilles Pisier ...

Serie Bok 155 - Cambridge Studies in Advanced Mathematics
This book focuses on the major applications of martingales to the geometry of Banach spaces, and a substantial discussion of harmonic analysis in Banach space valued Hardy spaces is also presented. It covers exciting links between super-reflexivity and some metric spaces related to computer science, as well as an outline of the recently developed theory of non-commutative martingales, which has ... Läs mer

851,06 kr

This book focuses on the major applications of martingales to the geometry of Banach spaces, and a substantial discussion of harmonic analysis in Banach space valued Hardy spaces is also presented. It covers exciting links between super-reflexivity and some metric spaces related to computer science, as well as an outline of the recently developed theory of non-commutative martingales, which has
... Läs mer
Stochastic Processes with Applications to Finance

av Masaaki Kijima ...

Serie serie Chapman and Hall/CRC Financial Mathematics Series
Financial engineering has been proven to be a useful tool for risk management, but using the theory in practice requires a thorough understanding of the risks and ethical standards involved. Stochastic Processes with Applications to Finance, Second Edition presents the mathematical theory of financial engineering using only basic mathematical tools ... Läs mer

1 470,67 kr

Financial engineering has been proven to be a useful tool for risk management, but using the theory in practice requires a thorough understanding of the risks and ethical standards involved. Stochastic Processes with Applications to Finance, Second Edition presents the mathematical theory of financial engineering using only basic mathematical tools
... Läs mer
Structured Stochastic Matrices of M/G/1 Type and Their Applications

av Marcel F. Neuts ...

Serie serie Probability: Pure and Applied
This book deals with Markov chains and Markov renewal processes (M/G/1 type). It discusses numerical difficulties which are apparently inherent in the classical analysis of a variety of stochastic models by methods of complex analysis. ... Läs mer

4 813,54 kr

This book deals with Markov chains and Markov renewal processes (M/G/1 type). It discusses numerical difficulties which are apparently inherent in the classical analysis of a variety of stochastic models by methods of complex analysis.
... Läs mer
Bayesian Analysis of Time Series

av Lyle D. Broemeling ...

In many branches of science relevant observations are taken sequentially over time. Bayesian Analysis of Time Series discusses how to use models that explain the probabilistic characteristics of these time series and then utilizes the Bayesian approach to make inferences about their parameters. This is done by taking the prior information and via Bayes theorem implementing Bayesian inferences of ... Läs mer

748,64 kr

In many branches of science relevant observations are taken sequentially over time. Bayesian Analysis of Time Series discusses how to use models that explain the probabilistic characteristics of these time series and then utilizes the Bayesian approach to make inferences about their parameters. This is done by taking the prior information and via Bayes theorem implementing Bayesian inferences of
... Läs mer

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Rekommenderas för dig

Sannolikhet E-böcker

Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty

Earthquakes, Tsunamis and Nuclear Risks

Arbitrage, Credit And Informational Risks

Das Hidden-Markov-Modell

Advanced Mathematical and Computational Tools in Metrology and Testing XIII

Physik und Finanzen

Particle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems

Commodities, Energy and Environmental Finance

Structural Health Monitoring for Suspension Bridges

Stability Analysis of Regenerative Queueing Models

Introduction to Malliavin Calculus

Stochastic Geometric Analysis with Applications

Introduction to Queueing Systems with Telecommunication Applications

Dynamic Markov Bridges and Market Microstructure

Probability: Theory, Examples, Problems, Simulations

Complexity Science

Control of Partial Differential Equations

Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method

Infinite Dimensional And Finite Dimensional Stochastic Equations And Applications In Physics

Martingales in Banach Spaces

Stochastic Processes with Applications to Finance

Structured Stochastic Matrices of M/G/1 Type and Their Applications

Bayesian Analysis of Time Series