The first part of the book defines the concept of uncertainties and the mathematical frameworks that will be used for uncertainty modeling. The application to system reliability assessment illustrates the concept. In the second part, evidential networks as a new tool to model uncertainty in reliability and risk analysis is proposed and described. Then it is applied on SIS performance assessment and in risk analysis of a heat sink. In the third part, Bayesian and evidential networks are use...

Drawing on exclusive and unprecedented access to David Hockney’s extensive archives, notebooks, and paintings, interviews with family, friends, and on Hockney himself, Christopher Simon Sykes provides a colorful and intimate portrait of one of the most influential artists of the twentieth century.Born in 1937, David Hockney grew up in a northern English town during the days of postwar austerity. By the time he was ten years old he knew he wanted to be an artist, an...

In 1878, two young stage magicians clash in the dark during the course of a fraudulent séance. From this moment on, their lives become webs of deceit and revelation as they vie to outwit and expose each other.Their rivalry will take them to the peaks of their careers—but with terrible consequences. In the course of pursuing each other’s ruin, they will deploy all the deception their magician’s craft can command, the highest misdirection and the darkest science. Blood will be spille...

Seit Paul Gertsch Großvater geworden ist, hat er seine unehrenhafte Tätigkeit als Dieb an den Nagel gehängt: Vier Jahre lang keinen Auftrag angenommen, nichts gestohlen und nichts Gestohlenes verkauft, er saß einfach nur in seinem Trödelladen in der Berner Altstadt, hing den Erinnerungen nach, wie er einst fremdes Eigentum umverteilte, und hat seinen Ersparnissen beim Schmelzen zugesehen. Als dann ein junger Mann einen teuren Aktenkoffer mit noch wertvollerem Inhalt zu Geld machen will und...

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • Our minds don’t work the way we think they do. Two renowned psychologists explain how and why our intuitions lead us astray, “[spinning] the plain world [we] know into a wonderment of surprising new insights” (Time).“A must-read for anyone who wants to better understand how the mind works.”—Associated PressIn The Invisible Gorilla, Christopher Chabris and Daniel Simons, creators of one ...

The second edition of Inside Section One: Creating and Producing TV's La Femme Nikita is an expanded and updated version designed to provide readers—and in particular, TV and film students—with a thorough understanding of the TV production experience, using the critically-acclaimed and award-winning TV series La Femme Nikita as a case study.Christopher Heyn was there for the series' entire five-year run, and brings readers a unique insider's perspective on La Femme Nikita's journey...

In this fascinating and entertaining second volume, Christopher Simon Sykes explores the life and work of Britain's most popular living artist.David Hockney is one of the most influential and best-loved artists of the twentieth century. His career has spanned and epitomized the art movements of the past five decades. Picking up Hockney's story in 1975, this book finds him flitting between Notting Hill and California, where he took inspiration for the swimming pool ...

If a gorilla walked out into the middle of a basketball pitch, you’d notice it. Wouldn’t you? If a serious violent crime took place just next to you, you’d remember it, right? The Invisible Gorilla is a fascinating look at the unbelievable, yet routine tricks that your brain plays on you.In an award-winning and groundbreaking study, psychologists Christopher Chabris and Daniel Simons asked volunteers to watch a 60-second film of a group of students playing basketball and told them ...

Narrateur : Christophe TabardLe Papa de Simon | AUDIO | Guy de MaupassantGuy de Maupassant [gi d(ə) mo.pa.ˈsɑ̃], né le 5 août 1850 au château de Miromesnil près de Tourville-sur-Arques (France) et mort le 6 juillet 1893 dans le 16e arrondissement de Paris, est un écrivain et journaliste littéraire français.Ce maître du récit réaliste peint les mœurs de son époque et se distingue de ses pairs par la lucidité et l'apparente simplicité de son écriture.Il est l'...

Wrestling with Difficult Stakeholders offers practical, validated techniques that all employees, from recent graduates to experienced managers, can apply to their interactions with a range of difficult people in their businesses and lives. The ability to deal with difficult stakeholders is essential when interacting with others in the workplace. It’s important to identify the reasons why we find them difficult and explore our response to them. In this interactive handbook, you will learn p...

Ehe er sich auf den Weg zur Hochzeit seiner Tochter macht, stiehlt Paul Gertsch sich zusammen, was er braucht: Ohne Anzug kann er Alina nicht zum Altar führen, und weil er zugesagt hat, sich um die Verpflegung der Festgesellschaft zu kümmern, muss er dringend einen Grill besorgen. Dass wie aus dem Nichts ein Unbekannter auf dem Rücksitz seines Autos auftaucht und ihm eine Pistole an den Kopf hält, bringt die komplette Planung durcheinander. Erschwerend hinzu kommt, dass Alina einen Krimina...

At the age of only 36, Sir Mark Sykes was signatory to the Sykes-Picot agreement, one of the most reviled treaties of modern times. A century later, Christopher Sykes’ lively biography of his grandfather reassesses his life and work, and the political instability and violence in the Middle East attributed to it.The Sykes–Picot agreement was drawn by the eponymousBritish and French diplomats in 1916 to determine the divideof the collapsing empire in th...