Così come disponiamo di strumenti per studiare e ricostruire la storia, analogamente esistono strumenti scientificamente solidi per immaginare e studiare il futuro. Prevedere quello che succederà e anticipare il futuro oggi non è più materia da sfera di cristallo. La ricerca ha infatti sviluppato strumenti affidabili per tracciare i megatrend che caratterizzeranno i prossimi decenni ed elaborare scenari sufficientemente precisi per guidare le decisioni nel presente. Identificare i rischi e...

Navigate the Future with Confidence. In an era defined by constant change and pervasive uncertainty, Working with the Future provides the essential tools and frameworks to anticipate what's next. This book is for professionals, strategists, and decision-makers seeking to understand and govern uncertainty effectively.Roberto Poli, a leading expert in social foresight, presents a robust guide to futures studies, distinguishing between forecasting, foresight,...

To handle increasingly uncertain situations, we need to learn how to anticipate what is coming. Futures Studies have developed robust frameworks for working with possible futures, including the development of scenarios and visions able to guide decisions in the present. Measuring risks and understanding uncertainties, and distinguishing what is only complicated from what is actually complex; these are part and parcel of working with the future. This book presents the phases of a future exe...

This book presents the theory of anticipation, and establishes anticipation of the future as a legitimate topic of research. It examines anticipatory behavior, i.e. a behavior that ‘uses’ the future in its actual decisional process. The book shows that anticipation violates neither the ontological order of time nor causation. It explores the question of how different kinds of systems anticipate, and examines the risks and uses of such anticipatory practices. The book first summarizes the r...

Una guida per affrontare insieme la complessità e dare un senso al lavoro«La complessità è l’importanza dell’interazione sulla componente. Cambiare le organizzazioni significa necessariamente cambiare lo stile di leadership e le modalità di interazione, più che gli organigrammi. Conosco gli autori, in particolare Marco Ossani con il quale collaboro da anni, la sua capacità di e le sue metodologie per facilitare la partecipazione, e quindi di attivare processi di cambiamento profondi...

This proposed text appears to be a good introduction to evolutionary computation for use in applied statistics research. The authors draw from a vast base of knowledge about the current literature in both the design of evolutionary algorithms and statistical techniques. Modern statistical research is on the threshold of solving increasingly complex problems in high dimensions, and the generalization of its methodology to parameters whose estimators do not follow mathematically simple distr...

Comme nos jardins ou notre culture, l'éducation " à la française " demeure un must – tant chez nous qu'à l'étranger. De fait, à la naissance de leurs enfants, tous les parents français se promettent de " bien les élever ". Mais quels sont les principes de cette fameuse éducation à la française, ses qualités, ses défauts ?Politesse, respect de l'autre, tenue à table, sommeil, propreté, habillement... Au fil d'un abécédaire ultracomplet, la célèbre pédiatre Edwige Antier couvre tous l...

Even if the width and the depth of Brentano’s intellectual legacy are now quite well known, those asked to list the principal philosophers of the 19th century, very rarely do mention his name. We may call this puzzle the problem of Brentano’s 'invisibility'. One component of the Brentano’s puzzle is that a number of Brentano’s outstanding pupils achieved their own success and founded their own schools. Suffice to mention Husserl’s phenomenology, Twardowski’s Lvov-Warsaw school and Meinong’...

Articulations of Capital offers an accessible, grounded, yet theoretically-sophisticated account of the geographies of global production networks, value chains, and regional development in post-socialist Eastern and Central Europe.Proposes a new theorization of global value chains as part of a conjunctural economic geographyDevelops a set of conceptual and theoretical arguments concerning the regional embeddedness of global productionDraws on long...

Jack und Cliff freuen sich: Sie dürfen mit Onkel Curtis auf der Asturia nach Florida fahren. Doch gleich zu Beginn der Reise häufen sich die seltsamen Vorgänge: Cliffs Koffer lässt mit seinem Schlüssel nicht öffnen, ihre Kabine wird durchwühlt und sie verfolgen einen verdächtigen Lauscher. Alles scheint mit Cliffs Koffer zusammenzuhängen – doch was ist das Geheimnis des Koffers?

Die Stadt Seaport feiert ihr 150-jähriges Jubiläum. Zu diesem Anlass wird das Testament des Gründervaters Gunnar Erikson geöffnet. Zum großen Erstaunen aller enthält es eine Botschaft in Runenzeichen. Welches Rätsel hat Gunnar Erikson seinen Nachfahren mitgegeben? Jack und Cliff forschen nach und geraten in eine gefährliche Falle: Sie sitzen in einer unterirdischen Kammer fest!

Si l'on se refuse à admettre que les auteurs du Moyen Âge qui dissertent du diable sont des faibles d'esprit, si l'on ne croit pas qu'ils cherchent à tromper délibéremment ou à édifier leurs lecteurs à bon compte et si l'on ne présume pas qu'ils répètent inlassablement des histoires venues d'ailleurs, il faut alors convenir, qu'un certain nombre de fois au moins, ils font état de phénomènes, c'est-à-dire, sinon de faits au sens d'aujourd'hui, du moins d'apparences qui y ressemblent fort. Q...