'Masterful' GEORGE AINSLIE'A fascinating tour of risk taking in the natural world' ADAM KUCHARSKI'A sweeping and page-turning story' NICK CHATER'A fascinating and challenging explanation of how the secrets to human success may be our downfall' PSYCHOLOGY TODAYEvolution is a series of bets, and no animal gambles the way humans do. This has led us to unprecedented ecological dominance...

This book was written as fiction but the incidences and events are based on true stories. It is fifty years since they happened and most of the characters are deceased. Although there are many sad stories in the book the real lesson is that the troubles that occur between the professional staff and management is all too real today in the American healthcare system.

How the concept of a pattern, as understood in information science and applied in contemporary AI, can address deep questions in science and philosophy.The explosive growth of AI and machine learning in recent decades is predicated on the recognition and exploitation of patterns in data. Of course, scientists have engaged in their own—less automated—processes of pattern recognition since the birth of science itself, and biological organisms evolved their own neural...

Behavioural economists have developed alternatives to Expected Utility Theory as descriptive and normative models of risk preferences. One popular view is that these alternative descriptive models are generally better descriptively, but that they tend to be inferior normative models for guiding risky decisions. Models of Risk Preferences collects studies that critically review these two claims from the perspective of experimental economics.The Research in Experimental ...

It is widely believed that economic development in much of the world is not happening quickly enough. Indeed, the standard of living in some parts of the world has actually been declining. Many experts now doubt that the solution can be purely technical and economic; it must also be political and moral.This book brings together contributions from leading authorities, such as Joseph Stiglitz, Jean-Jacques Laffont and Daniel Hausman, on economics and political philosophy to survey cu...

**A New York Times’s Notable Book of 2025An impassioned celebration of humility before the living world that leads us to a new understanding of other species—and ourselves**Darwin considered humans one part of the web of life, not the apex of a natural hierarchy. Yet today many maintain that we are the most intelligent, virtuous, successful species that ever lived. This flawed thinking enables us to exploit the earth towards our own exclusive ends, throwing us into...

From a leading computer scientist, a unifying theory that will revolutionize our understanding of how life evolves and learns.How does life prosper in a complex and erratic world? While we know that nature follows patterns -- such as the law of gravity -- our everyday lives are beyond what known science can predict. We nevertheless muddle through even in the absence of theories of how to act. But how do we do it?In Probably Approximately Correct, c...

The core methods in today's econometric toolkit are linear regression for statistical control, instrumental variables methods for the analysis of natural experiments, and differences-in-differences methods that exploit policy changes. In the modern experimentalist paradigm, these techniques address clear causal questions such as: Do smaller classes increase learning? Should wife batterers be arrested? How much does education raise wages? Mostly Harmless Econometrics shows how the ...

How our collective intelligence has helped us to evolve and prosperHumans are a puzzling species. On the one hand, we struggle to survive on our own in the wild, often failing to overcome even basic challenges, like obtaining food, building shelters, or avoiding predators. On the other hand, human groups have produced ingenious technologies, sophisticated languages, and complex institutions that have permitted us to successfully expand into a vast range of diverse ...

In 1687 Isaac Newton ushered in a new scientific era in which laws of nature could be used to predict the movements of matter with almost perfect precision. Newton's physics also posed a profound challenge to our self-understanding, however, for the very same laws that keep airplanes in the air and rivers flowing downhill tell us that it is in principle possible to predict what each of us will do every second of our entire lives, given the early conditions of the universe. Can it really be...

This book presents the definitive exposition of 'prospect theory', a compelling alternative to the classical utility theory of choice. Building on the 1982 volume, Judgement Under Uncertainty, this book brings together seminal papers on prospect theory from economists, decision theorists, and psychologists, including the work of the late Amos Tversky, whose contributions are collected here for the first time. While remaining within a rational choice framework, prospect theory delivers more...

A study of how evolution has forged our modern lives—from work and relationships to leadership and innovation, as well as our quest for happiness.Human psychology is rife with contradictions: We work hard to achieve our goals, but happiness at our success is fleeting. We hope our friends will do well in life but can't help feeling jealous if they do too well. We're aghast at the thought of people we know being murdered but are unconcerned when our armed forces kill ...